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A.M.Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Russian Academy of Sciences

Laboratory of Mathematical Ecology

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CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON VEGETATION COVER FOR THE EUROPEAN RUSSIA

L.L. Golubyatnikov and E.A. Denisenko
Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk - Seriya Geograficheskaya, 2009, 2, pp. 57-68, (in Russian).

Summary

Possible changes in the net primary production and habitats of zonal phytocenoses for the territory of European Russia under a 1°C increase in the annual mean global surface temperature are estimated by using the atmosphere-ocean general circulation model HadCM3 and the intermediate-complexity climate model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics RAS. The response of the phytocenotic habitats to possible climate changes is estimated from the changes in net primary production for the considered climatic scenarios. The results obtained are used to determine the zonal phytocenoses most sensitive to climate changes.

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